Afternoon Baseball

Common-sense ruminations on baseball and culture.


Well, there was just one game tonight. But it doesn't matter.
I try to know my limits, and although I consider myself to be a fairly reliable prognosticator when it comes to things such as the merits of free-agent signings (Beltran, for instance), preseason team predictions are not my forte.
I've had a few successes. In 2002, I picked the Giants. Of course, I picked the Giants almost every year from 1997-2004. In spring 2004, I said that if the Red Sox could not win that year with Schilling, they really might never win a World Series again. Sadly, that one came true.
My last real successful pick, however was in 2001, when I said in spring training that the Yankees would not lose the World Series unless they faced the Diamondbacks, because Johnson and Schilling would singledhandedly shut down the Yankees (and be able to pitch enough innings/games to compensate for the rest of the staff).

Last year, for comparision's sake, I picked most of the playoff teams, but not Chicago. And I didn't have Houston in the series (St. Louis, I believe).
This year, for some reason, I actually have a good feeling about the Yankees, one I haven't had since 2001. So I'm going with them in the Series. The National League is trickier. The NL West is a total wildcard, as is the NL East. The Central has a weakened St. Louis still looking better than the rest, but Houston is up in the air pending Clemens. So, barring any clue as to who's who, I'm sticking with the Cardinals to make it to the Series, where Tony LaRussa will lose again.
I have no confidence in these picks, in case you disagree. Nor will I gloat if I turn out to be right.

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